Should I Start Derrick Henry or Ja'Marr Chase in Week 7?

Derrick Henry is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.3 and 27.5. This week he plays at BUF; the game total is 53.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 78.5 rushing yards (+7.8), 1.1 touchdowns (+6.3), 9.0 receiving yards (+0.9), 1.2 catches (+0.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 14.0 points and scored 6.5.

Ja'Marr Chase is projected for 15.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.4 and 26.9. This week he plays vs TEN; the game total is 46.5 and his team is favored by 10.5. The number is built from live market data across 9 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 79.8 receiving yards (+8.0), 0.7 touchdowns (+4.2), 6.4 catches (+3.2).

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 15.7 points this week against 15.5 for Ja'Marr Chase. His chance of outscoring Ja'Marr Chase is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Derrick Henry usually lands between 4.3 and 27.5, Ja'Marr Chase between 4.4 and 26.9 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.