Should I Start Davis Allen or Theo Johnson in Week 4?

Davis Allen is projected for 1.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.6. This week he plays vs BUF; the game total is 54.5 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 6.3 receiving yards (+0.6), 0.7 catches (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.0 points and scored 2.9.

Theo Johnson is projected for 2.8 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 4.3. This week he plays at WAS; the game total is 43.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 15.1 receiving yards (+1.5), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8), 1.1 catches (+0.5). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.4 points and scored 0.0.

Theo Johnson is the slight lean. He projects for 2.8 points this week against 1.7 for Davis Allen. His chance of outscoring Davis Allen is 73%. Their ranges overlap — Theo Johnson usually lands between 0.0 and 4.3, Davis Allen between 0.0 and 1.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 8:21 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.