Should I Start Davis Allen or Jonnu Smith in Week 4?

Davis Allen is projected for 1.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.6. This week he plays vs BUF; the game total is 54.5 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 6.3 receiving yards (+0.6), 0.7 catches (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.0 points and scored 2.9.

Jonnu Smith is projected for 3.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.4 and 7.1. This week he plays vs CHI; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 2.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 3 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 15.5 receiving yards (+1.5), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8), 1.4 catches (+0.7), 2.5 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.7 points and scored 2.6.

Jonnu Smith is the slight lean. He projects for 3.3 points this week against 1.7 for Davis Allen. His chance of outscoring Davis Allen is 81%. Their ranges overlap — Jonnu Smith usually lands between 0.4 and 7.1, Davis Allen between 0.0 and 1.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 8:21 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.