Should I Start Darren Waller or Jake Ferguson in Week 7?

Darren Waller is projected for 4.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.1 and 9.8. This week he plays at GB; the game total is 48.0 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 19.7 receiving yards (+2.0), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.6), 2.3 catches (+1.1). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 4.4 points and scored 0.0.

Jake Ferguson is projected for 7.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.7 and 13.1. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 53.5 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 34.4 receiving yards (+3.4), 0.3 touchdowns (+2.0), 3.5 catches (+1.8). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 4.5 points and scored 2.3.

Jake Ferguson is the lean. He projects for 7.2 points this week against 4.7 for Darren Waller. His chance of outscoring Darren Waller is 62%. Their ranges overlap — Jake Ferguson usually lands between 1.7 and 13.1, Darren Waller between 0.1 and 9.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.