Should I Start Darnell Mooney or Roman Wilson in Week 4?

Darnell Mooney is projected for 3.7 points, 83rd among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 7.8. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 2.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 20.5 receiving yards (+2.1), 1.7 catches (+0.8), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 2.5 points and scored 3.9.

Roman Wilson is projected for 3.9 points, 79th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 8.4. This week he plays at CLE; the game total is 38.0 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 20.5 receiving yards (+2.1), 2.2 catches (+1.1), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 3.7 points and scored 13.5.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 3.9 points this week against 3.7 for Darnell Mooney. His chance of outscoring Darnell Mooney is 54%. Their ranges overlap — Roman Wilson usually lands between 0.0 and 8.4, Darnell Mooney between 0.0 and 7.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 7:41 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.