Should I Start Dak Prescott or Kyler Murray in Week 7?

Dak Prescott is projected for 22.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 8.8 and 35.5. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 53.5 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 296.1 passing yards (+11.8), 2.3 passing touchdowns (+9.1), 16.3 rushing yards (+1.6), 0.5 interceptions (−1.0), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 18.9 points and scored 11.0.

Kyler Murray is projected for 16.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.6 and 26.5. This week he plays at DET; the game total is 46.0 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 217.9 passing yards (+8.7), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.7), 28.3 rushing yards (+2.8), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1), 0.4 interceptions (−0.8).

Dak Prescott is the lean. He projects for 22.4 points this week against 16.6 for Kyler Murray. His chance of outscoring Kyler Murray is 66%. Their ranges overlap — Dak Prescott usually lands between 8.8 and 35.5, Kyler Murray between 6.6 and 26.5 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.