Should I Start Christian Watson or Jonathan Taylor in Week 7?

Christian Watson is projected for 12.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.1 and 25.4. This week he plays vs CAR; the game total is 48.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 70.5 receiving yards (+7.1), 0.5 touchdowns (+3.2), 4.5 catches (+2.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.7 points and scored 7.9.

Jonathan Taylor is projected for 15.8 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.6 and 25.9. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 74.1 rushing yards (+7.4), 0.9 touchdowns (+5.5), 16.7 receiving yards (+1.7), 2.5 catches (+1.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 17.5 points and scored 22.1.

Jonathan Taylor is the lean. He projects for 15.8 points this week against 12.5 for Christian Watson. His chance of outscoring Christian Watson is 54%. Their ranges overlap — Jonathan Taylor usually lands between 4.6 and 25.9, Christian Watson between 4.1 and 25.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.