Should I Start Case Keenum or Jalon Daniels in Week 4?
Case Keenum is projected for 13.5 points, 28th among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 3.1 and 20.5. This week he plays vs NYJ; the game total is 43.0 and his team is favored by 3.3. No book has posted a line on him yet, so this is our own projection from his role and Sleeper’s numbers. How it adds up: 185.4 passing yards (+7.4), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.4), 9.9 rushing yards (+1.0), 0.3 interceptions (−0.6), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 9.8 points and did not play.
Jalon Daniels is projected for 13.7 points, 27th among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 5.4 and 24.4. This week he plays vs GB; the game total is 38.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 173.4 passing yards (+6.9), 1.0 passing touchdowns (+3.8), 34.5 rushing yards (+3.5), 0.9 interceptions (−1.7), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.2).
It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 13.7 points this week against 13.5 for Case Keenum. His chance of outscoring Case Keenum is 61%. Their ranges overlap — Jalon Daniels usually lands between 5.4 and 24.4, Case Keenum between 3.1 and 20.5 — so either can win the week.
| Week 4 | Daniels | Keenum |
|---|---|---|
| Projection | 13.7 | 13.5 |
| Floor · ceiling | 5.4 · 24.4 | 3.1 · 20.5 |
| Rank at position | 27th | 28th |
| Status | Healthy | Healthy |
Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 7:21 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.