Should I Start Carnell Tate or Josh Downs in Week 7?

Carnell Tate is projected for 10.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.2 and 18.3. This week he plays at CIN; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 10.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 59.8 receiving yards (+6.0), 5.2 catches (+2.6), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 8.1 points and scored 16.0.

Josh Downs is projected for 7.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.4 and 13.8. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 37.8 receiving yards (+3.8), 4.0 catches (+2.0), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.9 points and scored 6.7.

Carnell Tate is the lean. He projects for 10.1 points this week against 7.5 for Josh Downs. His chance of outscoring Josh Downs is 62%. Their ranges overlap — Carnell Tate usually lands between 3.2 and 18.3, Josh Downs between 2.4 and 13.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.