Should I Start Carnell Tate or Jaylen Waddle in Week 7?

Carnell Tate is projected for 10.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.2 and 18.3. This week he plays at CIN; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 10.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 59.8 receiving yards (+6.0), 5.2 catches (+2.6), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 8.1 points and scored 16.0.

Jaylen Waddle is projected for 10.0 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.0 and 18.0. This week he plays vs KC; the game total is 41.0 and his team is a 1.5-point underdog. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 56.1 receiving yards (+5.6), 4.4 catches (+2.2), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.1). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 8.4 points and scored 4.4.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 10.1 points this week against 10.0 for Jaylen Waddle. His chance of outscoring Jaylen Waddle is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Carnell Tate usually lands between 3.2 and 18.3, Jaylen Waddle between 3.0 and 18.0 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.