Should I Start Cam Ward or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 7?

Cam Ward is projected for 12.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.0 and 19.8. This week he plays at CIN; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 10.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 201.1 passing yards (+8.0), 0.9 passing touchdowns (+3.6), 0.8 interceptions (−1.7), 11.7 rushing yards (+1.2), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.0). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.6 points and scored 6.8.

Michael Penix Jr. is projected for 14.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.9 and 23.3. This week he plays at TB; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 2.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 226.6 passing yards (+9.1), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.4), 0.5 interceptions (−1.0), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 3.4 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 14.2 points and scored 21.1.

Michael Penix Jr. is the lean. He projects for 14.4 points this week against 12.1 for Cam Ward. His chance of outscoring Cam Ward is 59%. Their ranges overlap — Michael Penix Jr. usually lands between 4.9 and 23.3, Cam Ward between 4.0 and 19.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.