Should I Start Calvin Ridley or Jacob Cowing in Week 4?

Calvin Ridley is projected for 2.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 3.4. This week he plays vs HOU; the game total is 39.5 and his team is a 7.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 11.7 receiving yards (+1.2), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.6), 1.0 catches (+0.5). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 2.0 points and scored 0.0.

Jacob Cowing is projected for 2.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 3.5. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 47.0 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 10 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 14.2 receiving yards (+1.4), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 1.2 catches (+0.6). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.3 points and scored 0.0.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 2.7 points this week against 2.3 for Calvin Ridley. His chance of outscoring Calvin Ridley is 54%. Their ranges overlap — Jacob Cowing usually lands between 0.0 and 3.5, Calvin Ridley between 0.0 and 3.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 5:41 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.