Should I Start Caleb Williams or Matthew Stafford in Week 7?

Caleb Williams is projected for 15.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.3 and 24.0. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 221.7 passing yards (+8.9), 1.3 passing touchdowns (+5.1), 21.0 rushing yards (+2.1), 0.8 interceptions (−1.5), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.0). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 17.5 points and scored 16.5.

Matthew Stafford is projected for 15.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.0 and 25.4. This week he plays vs LAC; the game total is 44.0 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 265.6 passing yards (+10.6), 1.5 passing touchdowns (+6.0), 1.1 interceptions (−2.2), 4.4 rushing yards (+0.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 18.9 points and scored 16.9.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 15.5 points this week against 15.1 for Matthew Stafford. His chance of outscoring Matthew Stafford is 52%. Their ranges overlap — Caleb Williams usually lands between 5.3 and 24.0, Matthew Stafford between 5.0 and 25.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.