Should I Start Caleb Williams or Deshaun Watson in Week 7?

Caleb Williams is projected for 15.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.3 and 24.0. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 221.7 passing yards (+8.9), 1.3 passing touchdowns (+5.1), 21.0 rushing yards (+2.1), 0.8 interceptions (−1.5), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.0). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 17.5 points and scored 16.5.

Deshaun Watson is projected for 14.9 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.3 and 24.0. This week he plays at PIT; the game total is 39.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 201.6 passing yards (+8.1), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.8), 20.5 rushing yards (+2.0), 0.6 interceptions (−1.2), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 15.6 points and scored 9.5.

Caleb Williams is the slight lean. He projects for 15.5 points this week against 14.9 for Deshaun Watson. His chance of outscoring Deshaun Watson is 53%. Their ranges overlap — Caleb Williams usually lands between 5.3 and 24.0, Deshaun Watson between 5.3 and 24.0 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.