Should I Start Cade Otton or Zach Ertz in Week 4?

Cade Otton is projected for 5.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.7 and 10.1. This week he plays at DAL; the game total is 47.5 and his team is a 8.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 13 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 27.6 receiving yards (+2.8), 3.3 catches (+1.6), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.0). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 4.5 points and scored 7.1.

Zach Ertz is projected for 3.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 7.5. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 42.5 and his team is a 6.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 10 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7), 11.6 receiving yards (+1.2), 1.2 catches (+0.6). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.7 points and did not play.

Cade Otton is the slight lean. He projects for 5.4 points this week against 3.5 for Zach Ertz. His chance of outscoring Zach Ertz is 76%. Their ranges overlap — Cade Otton usually lands between 1.7 and 10.1, Zach Ertz between 0.0 and 7.5 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 7:21 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.