Should I Start Brenen Thompson or Treylon Burks in Week 4?

Brenen Thompson is projected for 1.7 points, 118th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.8. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 42.5 and his team is a 7.0-point underdog. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 14 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 9.2 receiving yards (+0.9), 0.9 catches (+0.4), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4).

Treylon Burks is projected for 1.8 points, 116th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 2.0. This week he plays vs IND; the game total is 48.5 and his team is a 4.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 14 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 7.4 receiving yards (+0.7), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 0.6 catches (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.1 points and scored 8.3.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 1.8 points this week against 1.7 for Brenen Thompson. His chance of outscoring Brenen Thompson is 41%. Their ranges overlap — Treylon Burks usually lands between 0.0 and 2.0, Brenen Thompson between 0.0 and 1.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 7:41 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.