Should I Start Brenen Thompson or Ray Davis in Week 4?

Brenen Thompson is projected for 1.7 points, 118th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.8. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 42.5 and his team is a 7.0-point underdog. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 14 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 9.2 receiving yards (+0.9), 0.9 catches (+0.4), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4).

Ray Davis is projected for 1.6 points, 81st among running backs this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.1 and 6.2. This week he plays vs NE; the game total is 48.5 and his team is favored by 6.8. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8), 6.5 rushing yards (+0.6). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.1 points and scored 0.0.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 1.7 points this week against 1.6 for Ray Davis. His chance of outscoring Ray Davis is 60%. Their ranges overlap — Brenen Thompson usually lands between 0.0 and 1.8, Ray Davis between 0.1 and 6.2 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 7:41 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.