Should I Start Brenen Thompson or Marvin Mims in Week 4?

Brenen Thompson is projected for 1.7 points, 118th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.8. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 42.5 and his team is a 7.0-point underdog. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 14 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 9.2 receiving yards (+0.9), 0.9 catches (+0.4), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4).

Marvin Mims is projected for 1.8 points, 117th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.1 and 2.0. This week he plays at SF; the game total is 48.0 and his team is a 2.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 13 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 7.3 receiving yards (+0.7), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.5), 0.7 catches (+0.4).

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 1.8 points this week against 1.7 for Brenen Thompson. His chance of outscoring Brenen Thompson is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Marvin Mims usually lands between 0.1 and 2.0, Brenen Thompson between 0.0 and 1.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 7:41 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.