Should I Start Brenen Thompson or Calvin Ridley in Week 4?

Brenen Thompson is projected for 1.7 points, 118th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.8. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 42.5 and his team is a 7.0-point underdog. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 14 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 9.2 receiving yards (+0.9), 0.9 catches (+0.4), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4).

Calvin Ridley is projected for 1.5 points, 121st among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 2.6. This week he plays at BAL; the game total is 42.5 and his team is a 11.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 6.5 receiving yards (+0.7), 0.9 catches (+0.4), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 2.0 points and scored 0.0.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 1.7 points this week against 1.5 for Calvin Ridley. His chance of outscoring Calvin Ridley is 51%. Their ranges overlap — Brenen Thompson usually lands between 0.0 and 1.8, Calvin Ridley between 0.0 and 2.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 7:41 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.