Should I Start Braelon Allen or Derrick Henry in Week 7?

Braelon Allen is projected for 9.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.0 and 17.2. This week he plays vs LV; the game total is 45.5 and his team is favored by 0.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.7 touchdowns (+4.4), 33.0 rushing yards (+3.3), 10.0 receiving yards (+1.0), 1.4 catches (+0.7). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 11.9 points and scored 11.4.

Derrick Henry is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.3 and 27.5. This week he plays at BUF; the game total is 53.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 78.5 rushing yards (+7.8), 1.1 touchdowns (+6.3), 9.0 receiving yards (+0.9), 1.2 catches (+0.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 14.0 points and scored 6.5.

Derrick Henry is the lean. He projects for 15.7 points this week against 9.4 for Braelon Allen. His chance of outscoring Braelon Allen is 69%. Their ranges overlap — Derrick Henry usually lands between 4.3 and 27.5, Braelon Allen between 2.0 and 17.2 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.