Should I Start Braelon Allen or Christian Watson in Week 7?

Braelon Allen is projected for 9.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.0 and 17.2. This week he plays vs LV; the game total is 45.5 and his team is favored by 0.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.7 touchdowns (+4.4), 33.0 rushing yards (+3.3), 10.0 receiving yards (+1.0), 1.4 catches (+0.7). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 11.9 points and scored 11.4.

Christian Watson is projected for 12.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.1 and 25.4. This week he plays vs CAR; the game total is 48.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 70.5 receiving yards (+7.1), 0.5 touchdowns (+3.2), 4.5 catches (+2.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.7 points and scored 7.9.

Christian Watson is the lean. He projects for 12.5 points this week against 9.4 for Braelon Allen. His chance of outscoring Braelon Allen is 67%. Their ranges overlap — Christian Watson usually lands between 4.1 and 25.4, Braelon Allen between 2.0 and 17.2 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.