Should I Start Bo Nix or Patrick Mahomes in Week 7?

Bo Nix is projected for 14.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.5 and 23.1. This week he plays vs KC; the game total is 41.0 and his team is a 1.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 207.6 passing yards (+8.3), 1.1 passing touchdowns (+4.3), 12.8 rushing yards (+1.3), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.3), 0.5 interceptions (−0.9). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.6 points and scored 4.5.

Patrick Mahomes is projected for 15.9 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.0 and 25.2. This week he plays at DEN; the game total is 41.0 and his team is favored by 1.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 224.6 passing yards (+9.0), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.9), 18.2 rushing yards (+1.8), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.0), 0.4 interceptions (−0.8). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 15.9 points and scored 10.5.

Patrick Mahomes is the slight lean. He projects for 15.9 points this week against 14.3 for Bo Nix. His chance of outscoring Bo Nix is 57%. Their ranges overlap — Patrick Mahomes usually lands between 6.0 and 25.2, Bo Nix between 5.5 and 23.1 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.