Should I Start Baker Mayfield or Sam Darnold in Week 7?

Baker Mayfield is projected for 15.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.3 and 25.5. This week he plays vs ATL; the game total is 46.5 and his team is favored by 2.0. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 216.4 passing yards (+8.7), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.7), 1.2 interceptions (−2.4), 16.5 rushing yards (+1.7), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 0.0 points and did not play.

Sam Darnold is projected for 14.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.4 and 23.7. This week he plays vs CHI; the game total is 46.5 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 246.3 passing yards (+9.9), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.7), 1.3 interceptions (−2.7), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8), 7.7 rushing yards (+0.8). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 13.0 points and scored 9.0.

Baker Mayfield is the slight lean. He projects for 15.2 points this week against 14.5 for Sam Darnold. His chance of outscoring Sam Darnold is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Baker Mayfield usually lands between 4.3 and 25.5, Sam Darnold between 3.4 and 23.7 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.