Should I Start Baker Mayfield or Malik Willis in Week 7?

Baker Mayfield is projected for 15.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.3 and 25.5. This week he plays vs ATL; the game total is 46.5 and his team is favored by 2.0. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 216.4 passing yards (+8.7), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.7), 1.2 interceptions (−2.4), 16.5 rushing yards (+1.7), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 0.0 points and did not play.

Malik Willis is projected for 13.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.5 and 21.5. This week he plays vs NE; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 186.3 passing yards (+7.5), 32.8 rushing yards (+3.3), 0.5 passing touchdowns (+2.1), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.6), 0.4 interceptions (−0.9).

Baker Mayfield is the slight lean. He projects for 15.2 points this week against 13.5 for Malik Willis. His chance of outscoring Malik Willis is 55%. Their ranges overlap — Baker Mayfield usually lands between 4.3 and 25.5, Malik Willis between 5.5 and 21.5 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.