Should I Start Baker Mayfield or Daniel Jones in Week 7?

Baker Mayfield is projected for 15.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.3 and 25.5. This week he plays vs ATL; the game total is 46.5 and his team is favored by 2.0. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 216.4 passing yards (+8.7), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.7), 1.2 interceptions (−2.4), 16.5 rushing yards (+1.7), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 0.0 points and did not play.

Daniel Jones is projected for 11.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.0 and 17.9. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 196.0 passing yards (+7.8), 0.7 passing touchdowns (+2.8), 0.6 interceptions (−1.2), 11.3 rushing yards (+1.1), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 14.3 points and scored 13.8.

Baker Mayfield is the lean. He projects for 15.2 points this week against 11.3 for Daniel Jones. His chance of outscoring Daniel Jones is 62%. Their ranges overlap — Baker Mayfield usually lands between 4.3 and 25.5, Daniel Jones between 4.0 and 17.9 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.