Should I Start Austin Ekeler or Ty Johnson in Week 4?

Austin Ekeler is projected for 4.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.3 and 8.3. This week he plays vs NYG; the game total is 43.5 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7), 12.0 rushing yards (+1.2), 6.6 receiving yards (+0.7), 0.9 catches (+0.5).

Ty Johnson is projected for 5.0 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.2 and 9.4. This week he plays at LAR; the game total is 54.5 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7), 13.7 rushing yards (+1.4), 12.2 receiving yards (+1.2), 1.5 catches (+0.7). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.7 points and scored 7.0.

Ty Johnson is the slight lean. He projects for 5.0 points this week against 4.1 for Austin Ekeler. His chance of outscoring Austin Ekeler is 65%. Their ranges overlap — Ty Johnson usually lands between 1.2 and 9.4, Austin Ekeler between 0.3 and 8.3 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 8:41 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.