Should I Start Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry in Week 7?

Ashton Jeanty is projected for 15.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.3 and 23.8. This week he plays at NYJ; the game total is 45.5 and his team is a 0.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 55.5 rushing yards (+5.5), 0.8 touchdowns (+4.6), 29.0 receiving yards (+2.9), 4.1 catches (+2.0). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 13.5 points and scored 13.8.

Derrick Henry is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.3 and 27.5. This week he plays at BUF; the game total is 53.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 78.5 rushing yards (+7.8), 1.1 touchdowns (+6.3), 9.0 receiving yards (+0.9), 1.2 catches (+0.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 14.0 points and scored 6.5.

Derrick Henry is the slight lean. He projects for 15.7 points this week against 15.1 for Ashton Jeanty. His chance of outscoring Ashton Jeanty is 53%. Their ranges overlap — Derrick Henry usually lands between 4.3 and 27.5, Ashton Jeanty between 5.3 and 23.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.