Should I Start Ashton Jeanty or Christian Watson in Week 7?

Ashton Jeanty is projected for 15.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.3 and 23.8. This week he plays at NYJ; the game total is 45.5 and his team is a 0.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 55.5 rushing yards (+5.5), 0.8 touchdowns (+4.6), 29.0 receiving yards (+2.9), 4.1 catches (+2.0). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 13.5 points and scored 13.8.

Christian Watson is projected for 12.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.1 and 25.4. This week he plays vs CAR; the game total is 48.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 70.5 receiving yards (+7.1), 0.5 touchdowns (+3.2), 4.5 catches (+2.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.7 points and scored 7.9.

Ashton Jeanty is the lean. He projects for 15.1 points this week against 12.5 for Christian Watson. His chance of outscoring Christian Watson is 51%. Their ranges overlap — Ashton Jeanty usually lands between 5.3 and 23.8, Christian Watson between 4.1 and 25.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.