Should I Start Ameer Abdullah or Davis Allen in Week 4?

Ameer Abdullah is projected for 1.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.1 and 1.2. This week he plays vs PHI; the game total is 42.5 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 10 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4), 3.4 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.2 points and scored 0.2.

Davis Allen is projected for 1.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.6. This week he plays vs BUF; the game total is 54.5 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 6.3 receiving yards (+0.6), 0.7 catches (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.0 points and scored 2.9.

Davis Allen is the slight lean. He projects for 1.7 points this week against 1.1 for Ameer Abdullah. His chance of outscoring Ameer Abdullah is 59%. Their ranges overlap — Davis Allen usually lands between 0.0 and 1.6, Ameer Abdullah between 0.1 and 1.2 — so either can win the week.

Week 4AllenAbdullah
Projection1.71.1
Floor · ceiling0.0 · 1.60.1 · 1.2
Rank at position——
StatusHealthyHealthy

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 8:21 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.