Should I Start A.J. Brown or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 7?
A.J. Brown is projected for 12.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.7 and 22.3. This week he plays at MIA; the game total is 44.5 and his team is favored by 7.5. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 67.8 receiving yards (+6.8), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.9), 5.0 catches (+2.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.2 points and scored 4.2.
Tetairoa McMillan is projected for 12.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.5 and 24.1. This week he plays at GB; the game total is 48.0 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 73.6 receiving yards (+7.4), 5.2 catches (+2.6), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 10.8 points and scored 11.6.
It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 12.5 points this week against 12.2 for A.J. Brown. His chance of outscoring A.J. Brown is 57%. Their ranges overlap — Tetairoa McMillan usually lands between 4.5 and 24.1, A.J. Brown between 3.7 and 22.3 — so either can win the week.
| Week 7 | McMillan | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Projection | 12.5 | 12.2 |
| Floor · ceiling | 4.5 · 24.1 | 3.7 · 22.3 |
| Rank at position | — | — |
| Status | Healthy | Healthy |
Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.