Should I Start A.J. Brown or Puka Nacua in Week 7?

A.J. Brown is projected for 12.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.7 and 22.3. This week he plays at MIA; the game total is 44.5 and his team is favored by 7.5. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 67.8 receiving yards (+6.8), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.9), 5.0 catches (+2.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.2 points and scored 4.2.

Puka Nacua is projected for 18.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.6 and 32.0. This week he plays vs LAC; the game total is 44.0 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 98.9 receiving yards (+9.9), 0.8 touchdowns (+4.8), 7.3 catches (+3.7). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 18.0 points and scored 11.0.

Puka Nacua is the lean. He projects for 18.5 points this week against 12.2 for A.J. Brown. His chance of outscoring A.J. Brown is 67%. Their ranges overlap — Puka Nacua usually lands between 5.6 and 32.0, A.J. Brown between 3.7 and 22.3 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.