Should I Start A.J. Brown or Garrett Wilson in Week 7?

A.J. Brown is projected for 12.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.7 and 22.3. This week he plays at MIA; the game total is 44.5 and his team is favored by 7.5. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 67.8 receiving yards (+6.8), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.9), 5.0 catches (+2.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.2 points and scored 4.2.

Garrett Wilson is projected for 11.8 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.4 and 20.8. This week he plays vs LV; the game total is 45.5 and his team is favored by 0.5. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 64.1 receiving yards (+6.4), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.9), 4.8 catches (+2.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 11.9 points and scored 6.4.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 12.2 points this week against 11.8 for Garrett Wilson. His chance of outscoring Garrett Wilson is 53%. Their ranges overlap — A.J. Brown usually lands between 3.7 and 22.3, Garrett Wilson between 3.4 and 20.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.