Should I Start AJ Barner or Rico Dowdle in Week 7?

AJ Barner is projected for 7.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.8 and 13.8. This week he plays vs CHI; the game total is 46.5 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 36.3 receiving yards (+3.6), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.2), 3.2 catches (+1.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 5.2 points and scored 3.1.

Rico Dowdle is projected for 7.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.9 and 13.7. This week he plays vs CLE; the game total is 39.5 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 29.5 rushing yards (+3.0), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.5), 11.6 receiving yards (+1.2), 1.8 catches (+0.9). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 4.0 points and scored 6.4.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 7.6 points this week against 7.5 for Rico Dowdle. His chance of outscoring Rico Dowdle is 51%. Their ranges overlap — AJ Barner usually lands between 1.8 and 13.8, Rico Dowdle between 1.9 and 13.7 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.