Should I Start Aaron Rodgers or Deshaun Watson in Week 7?

Aaron Rodgers is projected for 16.0 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.7 and 26.7. This week he plays vs CLE; the game total is 39.5 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 215.1 passing yards (+8.6), 1.9 passing touchdowns (+7.6), 0.4 interceptions (−0.9), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.2 points and scored 16.0.

Deshaun Watson is projected for 14.9 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.3 and 24.0. This week he plays at PIT; the game total is 39.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 201.6 passing yards (+8.1), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.8), 20.5 rushing yards (+2.0), 0.6 interceptions (−1.2), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 15.6 points and scored 9.5.

Aaron Rodgers is the slight lean. He projects for 16.0 points this week against 14.9 for Deshaun Watson. His chance of outscoring Deshaun Watson is 55%. Their ranges overlap — Aaron Rodgers usually lands between 5.7 and 26.7, Deshaun Watson between 5.3 and 24.0 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.