Should I Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Tyler Allgeier in Week 7?

Aaron Jones Sr. is projected for 9.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.4 and 16.7. This week he plays at DET; the game total is 46.0 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 37.5 rushing yards (+3.8), 0.5 touchdowns (+3.1), 15.5 receiving yards (+1.6), 2.3 catches (+1.2).

Tyler Allgeier is projected for 8.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.9 and 14.8. This week he plays at DAL; the game total is 53.5 and his team is a 6.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.5 touchdowns (+3.1), 19.8 rushing yards (+2.0), 17.0 receiving yards (+1.7), 2.9 catches (+1.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.8 points and scored 5.3.

Aaron Jones Sr. is the slight lean. He projects for 9.5 points this week against 8.2 for Tyler Allgeier. His chance of outscoring Tyler Allgeier is 58%. Their ranges overlap — Aaron Jones Sr. usually lands between 2.4 and 16.7, Tyler Allgeier between 1.9 and 14.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.