Should I Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Tucker Kraft in Week 7?

Aaron Jones Sr. is projected for 9.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.4 and 16.7. This week he plays at DET; the game total is 46.0 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 37.5 rushing yards (+3.8), 0.5 touchdowns (+3.1), 15.5 receiving yards (+1.6), 2.3 catches (+1.2).

Tucker Kraft is projected for 9.0 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.7 and 18.1. This week he plays vs CAR; the game total is 48.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 43.5 receiving yards (+4.4), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.4), 4.3 catches (+2.2). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 8.9 points and scored 6.2.

Aaron Jones Sr. is the slight lean. He projects for 9.5 points this week against 9.0 for Tucker Kraft. His chance of outscoring Tucker Kraft is 45%. Their ranges overlap — Aaron Jones Sr. usually lands between 2.4 and 16.7, Tucker Kraft between 2.7 and 18.1 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.