Should I Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Sam LaPorta in Week 7?

Aaron Jones Sr. is projected for 9.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.4 and 16.7. This week he plays at DET; the game total is 46.0 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 37.5 rushing yards (+3.8), 0.5 touchdowns (+3.1), 15.5 receiving yards (+1.6), 2.3 catches (+1.2).

Sam LaPorta is projected for 9.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.6 and 16.1. This week he plays vs MIN; the game total is 46.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 9 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 45.2 receiving yards (+4.5), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.4), 4.4 catches (+2.2).

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 9.5 points this week against 9.1 for Sam LaPorta. His chance of outscoring Sam LaPorta is 48%. Their ranges overlap — Aaron Jones Sr. usually lands between 2.4 and 16.7, Sam LaPorta between 2.6 and 16.1 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.